Group's iffy, logically-limp proof that Al-Qaeda attack imminent

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If it wasn't bad enough that has-been terrorist Osama bin Laden is taking credit for the Christmas Day airline near-bombing, now a U.S.-based terrorist-monitoring outfit IntelCenter is claiming that the wording of a recent message from the Saudi evildoer indicates that an attack appears to be imminent.

According to global news org AFP:

The group said it considered the language "a possible indicator of an upcoming attack" in the next 12 months.

"This phrase, 'Peace be upon those who follow guidance,' appears at the beginning and end of messages released in advance of attacks that are designed to provide warning to Al-Qaeda's enemies that they need to change their ways or they will be attacked," the group said.

IntelCenter's proof:

The center said similar language attributed to bin Laden was made in a March 19 2008 condemnation of cartoons depicting the Prophet Mohammed which was followed by an attack on the Danish Embassy in Islamabad on June 2, 2008.

The phrase also was used in bin Laden's April 15, 2004 European truce offer, which was followed by Al-Qaeda attacks in London in July 2005, according to the IntelCenter, which said the 14-month lapse could be explained by the "difficulty" in actually putting an attack into operation.

Hmm. Let's see.

First starters, two incidents certainly don't indicate a trend.

And in regards to the attack on the Danish Embassy, that shouldn't have been too big of a surprise in the first place, following the Mohammed cartoon controversy stirred up by a Danish newspaper. It was quite a shitstorm. Heaven forbid, I'm going to source Wikipedia:

This led to protests across the Muslim world, some of which escalated into violence with police firing on the crowds (resulting in more than 100 deaths, all together), including setting fire to the Danish Embassies in Syria, Lebanon and Iran, storming European buildings, and desecrating the Danish, Dutch, Norwegian and German flags in Gaza City. While a number of Muslim leaders called for protesters to remain peaceful, other Muslim leaders across the globe, including Mahmoud al-Zahar of Hamas, issued death threats. Various groups, primarily in the Western world, responded by endorsing the Danish policies, including "Buy Danish" campaigns and other displays of support. Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen described the controversy as Denmark's worst international crisis since World War II.

Even more damaging to this fear-mongering theory is the fact that the second "proof" involves a 14-month difference between the time of the warning and the time of the attack. An indicator indeed.

Oh, and if you want to buy a wall-chart showing terrorist activity in Yemen, or perhaps a wall chart featuring the faces of known jihadists, IntelCenter has plenty for sale at $29.95. Real hardcore types can buy the World Terrorist Groups Intel Update for $649.

Jack Bauer doesn't hawk posters. Jack Bauer is not Tiger Beat.

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